Wigan Warriors
Salford Red Devils
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
82%
Salford Red Devils
18%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 82%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 318-point ELO rating advantage (1698 vs 1380). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 11.3 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.22
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +11.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R1L R2W R3W R4W R5L older → newer | 29.6 |
Salford Red Devils | R1L R2L R3L R4L R5W | 8.6 |
Avg Conceded
11.8
Wigan Warriors
37.6
Salford Red Devils
Avg Margin
17.8
Wigan Warriors
-29.0
Salford Red Devils
Run Metres
1144
Wigan Warriors
627
Salford Red Devils
Clean Breaks
5.8
Wigan Warriors
2.6
Salford Red Devils
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
82%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 11 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +11.3