Leigh Leopards
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
70%
Wakefield Trinity
30%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 70%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leigh Leopards carry a 176-point ELO rating advantage (1597 vs 1420). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 8.8 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.28
Lost ✗
Edge
-7.8%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +8.8 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R1W R2W R3W R4D R5L older → newer | 16.2 |
Wakefield Trinity | R1W R2L R3L R4W R5L | 14.8 |
Avg Conceded
13.6
Leigh Leopards
16.8
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
2.6
Leigh Leopards
-2.0
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1219
Leigh Leopards
996
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
3.8
Leigh Leopards
2.8
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
70%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 9 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: +8.8