# Huddersfield Giants v Hull KR — Super League Round 6 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Huddersfield Giants 4 – 50 Hull KR

_Hull KR run riot over Huddersfield Giants._

Half time: 4 – 16 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Huddersfield Giants 35% / Hull KR 65% · John Smith's Stadium · Sun, 30 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT

**Try Scorers** — Huddersfield Giants: George Flanagan (13') · Hull KR: Oliver Gildart (5' 1st Tipped 🎯), Mikey Lewis (18' Tipped ⚡), Arthur Mourgue (29'), Jai Whitbread (50' Tipped ⚡), Jez Litten (55'), Sauaso Sue (63'), Mikey Lewis (65' Tipped ⚡), Mikey Lewis (75' Tipped ⚡), Tom Davies (77' Tipped ⚡)

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Hull KR | 65% | Won |
| Huddersfield Giants | 35% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 6.1 predicted → 46 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Huddersfield Giants vs Hull KR Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 6 2025**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 25 July 2026, 07:11 pm_

Huddersfield Giants 4–50 Hull KR in Super League Round 6 at John Smith's Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Hull KR beat Huddersfield Giants 50-4 at John Smith's Stadium, and the scoreline undersells how one-sided it actually was. Forty-six points separated the two sides, but the shape of the afternoon was worse than even that suggests. Huddersfield trailed 4-16 at the break and then shipped six more tries in the second half alone, four of them arriving in a 15-minute stretch between the 63rd and 77th minutes.

Mikey Lewis crossed three times, in the 18th, 65th and 75th minutes. Arthur Mourgue chipped in with a try of his own in the 29th minute and then kicked seven conversions to go with it. Jai Whitbread, Jez Litten, Sauaso Sue and Tom Davies all got on the scoresheet too, and Oliver Gildart opened the account inside five minutes with the game's first try. George Flanagan's response in the 13th minute, Huddersfield's only try all match, briefly made it 4-6 before Hull KR pulled away for good.

The gap wasn't about one or two moments, it was about metres. Hull KR ran for 1,710 to Huddersfield's 821, more than double, and turned that field position into 11 line breaks against just one. Fifty-five tackle busts to 29 tells the same story from a different angle: Huddersfield simply couldn't hold their line, and once it went, it kept going. Errors were nine to six in Hull KR's favour as well, so even the category where Huddersfield might have hoped to hang on, they lost.

Discipline was the lone column Huddersfield won, conceding one penalty to Hull KR's three. It's the kind of stat that looks tidy on paper and means nothing on the scoreboard when the other side is racking up 11 clean breaks.

None of this should have surprised anyone paying attention beforehand. Hull KR came in with the stronger halves by a wide margin, 1102 to 800, and a hooker rating of 1000 to 861. Add a forward pack edge of 976 to 808 and it's not hard to see why Huddersfield never got parity around the middle of the field.

**Key Match Stats**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| 821 | Run metres | **1,710** |
| 1 | Line breaks | **11** |
| 29 | Tackle busts | **55** |
| 9 | Offloads | **12** |
| 9 | Errors | **6** |
| **1** | Penalties conceded | 3 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 9 |
| 0/1 | Goals | 7/9 |
| 1 | Penalties Conceded | 3 |
| 9 | Errors | 6 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Hull KR to win at 65% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 6.1 but the actual margin was 46 points. Hull KR led 4–16 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 46. The model went 6/15 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (28/100) — penalties Huddersfield Giants 1 · Hull KR 3.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 64.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 6 · Predicted total: 41

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Hull KR here: 65% to see off Huddersfield Giants. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Hull KR sit 432 ELO points clear, 1754 to 1323. Form leans Hull KR's way: 5 from their last 5, against 0 for Huddersfield Giants.

Hull KR own the matchup too, leading 6 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. The margin model has Hull KR by 6.1, with the two sides combining for about 41. Hull KR to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 12.0pts | Avg Score | 25.0pts |
| 24.4pts | Avg Conceded | 8.0pts |
| -12.4pts | Avg Margin | 17.0pts |
| 652.4m | Run Metres | 1117.4m |
| 2.6 | Clean Breaks | 5.2 |
| 242.4 | Tackles | 286.2 |
| 6.0 | Errors | 8.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | R1 L · R2 L · R3 L · R4 L · R5 L | 12.0 |
| Hull KR | R1 W · R2 W · R3 W · R4 W · R5 W | 25.0 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Hull KR lead 5-0

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R26 | Hull KR | 36 – 6 | Huddersfield Giants | Hull KR 62% ✓ |
| 2026 | R4 | Huddersfield Giants | 6 – 32 | Hull KR | Huddersfield Giants 54% ✗ |
| 2025 | R11 | Hull KR | 34 – 0 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2024 | — | Huddersfield Giants | 12 – 24 | Hull KR | not priced |
| 2024 | R14 | Hull KR | 32 – 6 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in 1 of the last 2 decided meetings it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the middle: Super League's 6th-ranked middle attack (1 tries/game) runs at a Hull KR defence ranked 2nd there (0.6 conceded/game). Key man: Lolohea, 2 tries in that channel this season.
- Hull KR's best path is the right edge: Super League's 3rd-ranked right edge attack (1.2 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 11th there (1.6 conceded/game). Key man: Davies, 4 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Huddersfield Giants | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.2/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 1.2/g (def 11th (weak)) | 1.4/g (att 2nd (strong)) · concedes 0.6/g (def 3rd (strong)) |
| Middle | 1/g (att 6th) · concedes 1.4/g (def 7th) | 1.8/g (att 4th (strong)) · concedes 0.6/g (def 2nd (strong)) |
| Right | 0.8/g (att 6th) · concedes 1.6/g (def 11th (weak)) | 1.2/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 0/g (def 1st (strong)) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 3rd (strong) |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 1st (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 1 · 4 | 4 · 0 |
| Try Assists | 0.8/g | 1.2/g |
| Run Metres | 46m/g | 118m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 2.8/g | 5.2/g |
| Line Breaks | 0/g | 0.6/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.6% | 84.9% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 10th (weak) | 2nd (strong) |
| Defence rank | 11th (weak) | 2nd (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 4 · 13 | 13 · 4 |
| Try Assists | 0.6/g | 1.6/g |
| Run Metres | 282m/g | 532m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 8.2/g | 15.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.4/g | 3.6/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 76.6% | 82.6% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Hull KR |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 4th (strong) | 9th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 8th | 4th (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 3 | 0 · 1 |
| Try Assists | 0/g | 0.4/g |
| Run Metres | 132m/g | 255m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 4.2/g | 4.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.6/g | 0/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 94.1% | 93.5% |

**Who scores on Hull KR** — Props 0.13/g (lg 0.11) +18% · Hookers 0.1/g (lg 0.09) +11% · 2nd Rows 0.25/g (lg 0.23) +9%
**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Centres 0.53/g (lg 0.35) +51% · Wingers 1.19/g (lg 0.85) +40% · Hookers 0.12/g (lg 0.09) +33%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at John Smith's Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Gagai | FB | 1 in 4g | 1/4g (0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 1/2g | 25% | — | — |
| 2 | Adam Swift | WG | 3 in 5g | 10/10g (1·3·1·1·1·0·0·1·1·1) | 10/11g | 4/7g | 68% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.27 AI 47% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $19.18 AI 22% ✗ Not first | — |
| 3 | Jake Bibby | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 4 | Taane Milne | CE | 0 in 2g | 0/2g (0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 5 | Sam Halsall | WG | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·0·1·0·1·0·1·0·0) | 2/5g | 9/20g | 36% | — | — |
| 6 | George Flanagan | 5/8 | 1 in 3g | 1/3g (0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 33% | — | 🏉 13' |
| 7 | Tui Lolohea | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 8 | Fenton Rogers | PR | 0 in 5g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/6g | 7% | — | — |
| 9 | Ashton Golding | HK | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/5g | 5/32g | 10% | — | — |
| 10 | Matty English | PR | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/32g | 2% | — | — |
| 11 | Harry Rushton | 2R | 0 in 3g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 2/17g | 11% | — | — |
| 12 | Sam Hewitt | 2R | 1 in 5g | 6/10g (1·1·1·0·2·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/9g | 6/30g | 24% | — | — |
| 13 | Leroy Cudjoe | LK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 14 | Tom Deakin | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 15 | Tom Burgess | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 16 | Jack Bibby | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 17 | Jack Billington | INT | 0 in 3g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 0% | — | — |

**Hull KR** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arthur Mourgue | FB | 1 in 3g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·1·0·0) | 3/10g | 1/3g | 28% | — | 🏉 29' |
| 2 | Tom Davies | WG | 4 in 5g | 5/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·1·1·1) | 9/13g | 2/4g | 44% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.62 AI 61% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $14.59 AI 17% ✗ Not first | 🏉 77' |
| 3 | Peta Hiku | CE | 1 in 5g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 4/2g | 2/1g | 35% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.49 AI 30% ✗ No try | — |
| 4 | Oliver Gildart | CE | 4 in 5g | 4/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·2·1) | 1/11g | 0/2g | 22% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.82 AI 57% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $15.96 AI 15% ✓ Scored first | 🏉 5' |
| 5 | Jack Broadbent | WG | 1 in 4g | 3/10g (0·2·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/3g | 24% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.08 AI 35% ✗ No try | — |
| 6 | Mikey Lewis | 5/8 | 4 in 4g | 8/10g (1·1·2·0·0·0·0·1·1·2) | 3/8g | 2/4g | 56% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.63 AI 61% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $14.64 AI 17% ✗ Not first | 🏉 18' 65' 75' |
| 7 | Tyrone May | HB | 0 in 3g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/5g | 0/2g | 18% | — | — |
| 8 | Sauaso Sue | PR | 0 in 5g | 2/10g (0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/1g | 18% | — | 🏉 63' |
| 9 | Michael McIlorum | HK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 10 | Jared Waerea-Hargreaves | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 11 | Dean Hadley | 2R | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/14g | 0/3g | 4% | — | — |
| 12 | James Batchelor | 2R | 0 in 5g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/10g | 0/2g | 14% | — | — |
| 13 | Elliot Minchella | LK | 0 in 5g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/2g | 12% | — | — |
| 14 | Jez Litten | INT | 1 in 5g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 1/8g | 1/4g | 20% | — | 🏉 55' |
| 15 | Sam Luckley | INT | 0 in 3g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/7g | 0/3g | 4% | — | — |
| 16 | Jai Whitbread | INT | 2 in 5g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·2·0·0) | 1/5g | 1/2g | 14% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.44 AI 30% ✓ Scored | 🏉 50' |
| 17 | Kelepi Tanginoa | INT | 2 in 5g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1) | 4/10g | 2/4g | 32% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.16 AI 34% ✗ No try | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Huddersfield Giants 1323 · Hull KR 1754 · ELO difference: 432 in favour of Hull KR

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Hull KR |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Hull KR |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Hull KR |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Hull KR |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Hull KR |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | — |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Hull KR |

**Model Confidence: 65%** — Hull KR predicted to win by 6 points · Predicted total: 41 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 09:11 UTC (latest tip update)