Skip to main content

Super League | Round 6

alphr.com.au

JOHN SMITH'S STADIUM • SUNDAY 30 MAR, 11:00 AM AEDT
Full Time
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

450
HKR

Hull KR

✅ Model correct — backed Hull KR at 65%

AI Win Probability

65%Hull KRFavourite

Huddersfield Giants

35%

Hull KR

65%

AI Match Overview

Hull KR are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Hull KR ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Hull KR carry a 432-point ELO rating advantage (1754 vs 1323). Recent form favours Hull KR with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Hull KR by 6.1 points with a combined total of 41.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Hull KR to Win @1.15

Winner ✓

Edge

-22.4%

Line / Spread

Hull KR -6.1 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Hull KR 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Huddersfield Giants
R1L
R2L
R3L
R4L
R5L

older → newer

12.0
Hull KR
R1W
R2W
R3W
R4W
R5W
25.0

Avg Conceded

24.4

Huddersfield Giants

8.0

Hull KR

Avg Margin

-12.4

Huddersfield Giants

17.0

Hull KR

Run Metres

652

Huddersfield Giants

1117

Hull KR

Clean Breaks

2.6

Huddersfield Giants

5.2

Hull KR

H2H History (Last 5)Hull KR lead 5-0
Mar 2026HUD 6 - 32 HKR
May 2025HUD 0 - 34 HKR
Feb 2024HUD 12 - 24 HKR
Jun 2024HUD 6 - 32 HKR
Sep 2023HUD 18 - 26 HKR
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HUD
1323Overall1754
HKR
ELO difference: -432 in favour of Hull KR

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

808Forwards976
Best: 1000HKR +168Best: 1167
838Backs878
Best: 946HKR +41Best: 1028
800Halves1102
Best: 800HKR +302Best: 1102
861Hooker1000
HKR +139

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HUD
Stat
HKR
0.0
Wins (Last 5)
5.0
12.0pts
Avg Score
25.0pts
24.4pts
Avg Conceded
8.0pts
-12.4pts
Avg Margin
17.0pts
652.4m
Run Metres
1117.4m
2.6
Clean Breaks
5.2
242.4
Tackles
286.2
6.0
Errors
8.2

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
KR
2
Forward Pack12.0%
KR
3
Backline Quality10.0%
KR
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
KR
5
Halves Control9.0%
KR
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
KR

Model Confidence

65%

Hull KR predicted to win by 6 points

Predicted total: 41 · Line: -6.1

3/4 match predictions correct