Catalans Dragons
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
27%
St Helens
73%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 73%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. St Helens carry a 104-point ELO rating advantage (1569 vs 1465). Recent form favours St Helens with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts St Helens by 9.8 points with a combined total of 49.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.72
Winner ✓
Edge
+14.6%
Line / Spread
St Helens -9.8 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R1L R2L R3L R4W R5W older → newer | 11.8 |
St Helens | R1W R2W R3W R4L R5L | 35.2 |
Avg Conceded
16.0
Catalans Dragons
9.2
St Helens
Avg Margin
-4.2
Catalans Dragons
26.0
St Helens
Run Metres
830
Catalans Dragons
1389
St Helens
Clean Breaks
2.6
Catalans Dragons
7.2
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
73%
St Helens predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 49 · Line: -9.8