St Helens
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
St Helens
59%
Warrington Wolves
41%
AI Match Overview
St Helens hold the advantage at 59% win probability, though Warrington Wolves are far from out of this at 41%. The model sees St Helens ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. St Helens carry a 24-point ELO rating advantage (1593 vs 1568). Recent form favours St Helens with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts St Helens by 9.8 points with a combined total of 37.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.53
Lost ✗
Edge
-6.0%
Line / Spread
St Helens +9.8 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R1W R2W R3W R4L older → newer | 37.2 |
Warrington Wolves | R1W R2W R3L R4L | 17.2 |
Avg Conceded
11.0
St Helens
22.4
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
26.2
St Helens
-5.2
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1378
St Helens
915
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
7.2
St Helens
2.2
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
59%
St Helens predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 37 · Line: +9.8