Leeds Rhinos
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
26%
Wigan Warriors
74%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 74%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leeds Rhinos. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 240-point ELO rating advantage (1733 vs 1493). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Leeds Rhinos. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 10.5 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.38
Lost ✗
Edge
+2.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -10.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R1L R2W R3W R4L older → newer | 19.6 |
Wigan Warriors | R1L R2W R3W R4W | 29.4 |
Avg Conceded
16.2
Leeds Rhinos
9.8
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
3.4
Leeds Rhinos
19.6
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1026
Leeds Rhinos
1219
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
2.6
Leeds Rhinos
5.8
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
74%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: -10.5