# Castleford Tigers v Catalans Dragons — Super League Round 5 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Catalans Dragons
Sat, 22 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The Jungle · Round 5

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 50.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons — model probability 50.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 50.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 2 · Predicted total: 40

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Catalans Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 16.0pts | Avg Score | 11.4pts |
| 30.2pts | Avg Conceded | 16.0pts |
| -14.2pts | Avg Margin | -4.6pts |
| 706.8m | Run Metres | 791.6m |
| 2.6 | Clean Breaks | 3.2 |
| 163.8 | Tackles | 205.0 |
| 5.6 | Errors | 8.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R27 L · R1 L · R2 L · R3 L · R4 W | 16.0 |
| Catalans Dragons | R27 W · R1 L · R2 L · R3 L · R4 W | 11.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)