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Super League | Round 4

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THE BRICK COMMUNITY STADIUM • SUNDAY 9 MAR, 11:00 AM AEDT
Full Time
WIG

Wigan Warriors

4418
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Wigan Warriors at 79%

AI Win Probability

79%Wigan WarriorsFavourite

Wigan Warriors

79%

Huddersfield Giants

21%

AI Match Overview

Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 79%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 362-point ELO rating advantage (1724 vs 1362). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 14.4 points with a combined total of 43.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Wigan Warriors to Win @1.10

Winner ✓

Edge

-12.2%

Line / Spread

Wigan Warriors +14.4 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Wigan Warriors 13-24 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Wigan Warriors
R1L
R2W
R3W

older → newer

28.2
Huddersfield Giants
R1L
R2L
R3L
13.2

Avg Conceded

6.2

Wigan Warriors

26.2

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

22.0

Wigan Warriors

-13.0

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1463

Wigan Warriors

689

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

5.2

Wigan Warriors

2.0

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Wigan Warriors lead 4-1
Apr 2026WIG 16 - 34 HUD
Jul 2025WIG 30 - 10 HUD
Jun 2025WIG 22 - 18 HUD
Feb 2024WIG 48 - 6 HUD
Jul 2024WIG 28 - 14 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

WIG
1724Overall1362
HUD
ELO difference: +362 in favour of Wigan Warriors

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

820Forwards889
Best: 1069HUD +68Best: 1043
972Backs1127
Best: 1220HUD +155Best: 1324
1100Halves726
Best: 1100WIG +374Best: 726
795Hooker972
HUD +177

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

WIG
Stat
HUD
4.0
Wins (Last 5)
1.0
28.2pts
Avg Score
13.2pts
6.2pts
Avg Conceded
26.2pts
22.0pts
Avg Margin
-13.0pts
1462.6m
Run Metres
689.0m
5.2
Clean Breaks
2.0
320.6
Tackles
219.4
7.8
Errors
6.0

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Warriors
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Warriors
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Giants
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Warriors
5
Halves Control9.0%
Warriors
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Warriors
7
H2H History6.0%
Warriors

Model Confidence

79%

Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 14 points

Predicted total: 43 · Line: +14.4

3/4 match predictions correct