Hull
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Hull
45%
Leigh Leopards
55%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards hold the advantage at 55% win probability, though Hull are far from out of this at 45%. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leigh Leopards carry a 309-point ELO rating advantage (1643 vs 1335). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Hull. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 3.9 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.62
Lost ✗
Edge
-7.0%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards -3.9 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R1W R2L R3W older → newer | 9.4 |
Leigh Leopards | R1W R2W R3W | 14.6 |
Avg Conceded
28.4
Hull
12.0
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
-19.0
Hull
2.6
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
887
Hull
991
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
1.2
Hull
3.4
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
55%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: -3.9