Wigan Warriors
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
69%
Warrington Wolves
31%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 69%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 39-point ELO rating advantage (1691 vs 1652). The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 11.3 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.38
Winner ✓
Edge
-3.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +11.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R1L R2W older → newer | 31.4 |
Warrington Wolves | R1W R2W | 24.6 |
Avg Conceded
1.4
Wigan Warriors
11.2
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
30.0
Wigan Warriors
13.4
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1427
Wigan Warriors
888
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
6.6
Wigan Warriors
4.2
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
69%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 11 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: +11.3