Wakefield Trinity
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
25%
St Helens
75%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 75%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees St Helens ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. St Helens carry a 172-point ELO rating advantage (1595 vs 1423). Recent form favours St Helens with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts St Helens by 9.4 points with a combined total of 48.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.25
Winner ✓
Edge
-5.3%
Line / Spread
St Helens -9.4 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R1W R2L older → newer | 13.4 |
St Helens | R1W R2W | 40.4 |
Avg Conceded
24.0
Wakefield Trinity
10.2
St Helens
Avg Margin
-10.6
Wakefield Trinity
30.2
St Helens
Run Metres
764
Wakefield Trinity
1282
St Helens
Clean Breaks
1.8
Wakefield Trinity
8.4
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
75%
St Helens predicted to win by 9 points
Predicted total: 48 · Line: -9.4