Leigh Leopards
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
81%
Catalans Dragons
19%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 81%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Halves Control. Leigh Leopards carry a 207-point ELO rating advantage (1625 vs 1418). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 10.7 points with a combined total of 47.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.51
Winner ✓
Edge
+14.5%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +10.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R1W R2W older → newer | 11.4 |
Catalans Dragons | R1L R2L | 12.8 |
Avg Conceded
13.2
Leigh Leopards
16.2
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
-1.8
Leigh Leopards
-3.4
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
895
Leigh Leopards
782
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
2.8
Leigh Leopards
3.0
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
81%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 11 points
Predicted total: 47 · Line: +10.7