# Leeds Rhinos v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 3 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Leeds Rhinos v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 02 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 3

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 83.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 83.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 83.8% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 18 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Leeds Rhinos | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 25.6pts | Avg Score | 10.0pts |
| 18.0pts | Avg Conceded | 34.6pts |
| 7.6pts | Avg Margin | -24.6pts |
| 1001.4m | Run Metres | 574.8m |
| 4.0 | Clean Breaks | 1.2 |
| 272.4 | Tackles | 162.4 |
| 7.0 | Errors | 5.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos | R25 W · R26 L · R27 L · R1 L · R2 W | 25.6 |
| Castleford Tigers | R25 L · R26 L · R27 L · R1 L · R2 L | 10.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)