Wigan Warriors
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
57%
Leigh Leopards
43%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors hold the advantage at 57% win probability, though Leigh Leopards are far from out of this at 43%. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Venue Advantage. Wigan Warriors carry a 72-point ELO rating advantage (1778 vs 1706). The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 6.1 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.32
Winner ✓
Edge
-19.1%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +6.1 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R23W R24W R25W R26W R27W older → newer | 37.2 |
Leigh Leopards | R24W R25W R26W R27W R28W | 32.8 |
Avg Conceded
4.4
Wigan Warriors
10.8
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
32.8
Wigan Warriors
22.0
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1256
Wigan Warriors
1321
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
6.2
Wigan Warriors
6.4
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
57%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +6.1