Hull KR
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Hull KR
78%
St Helens
22%
AI Match Overview
Hull KR are clear favourites here at 78%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over St Helens. The model sees Hull KR ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Hull KR carry a 63-point ELO rating advantage (1708 vs 1645). Recent form favours Hull KR with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for St Helens. The margin model predicts Hull KR by 5.9 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull KR to Win @1.31
Winner ✓
Edge
+1.6%
Line / Spread
Hull KR +5.9 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull KR 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull KR | R23L R24W R25W R26L R27W older → newer | 15.2 |
St Helens | R24L R25L R26L R27W R28W | 12.8 |
Avg Conceded
17.6
Hull KR
19.2
St Helens
Avg Margin
-2.4
Hull KR
-6.4
St Helens
Run Metres
1147
Hull KR
1150
St Helens
Clean Breaks
3.8
Hull KR
2.2
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
78%
Hull KR predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +5.9