# Huddersfield Giants v Salford Red Devils — Super League Round 26 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Huddersfield Giants 22 – 8 Salford Red Devils

_Huddersfield Giants hit back to tower over Salford Red Devils._

Half time: 4 – 8 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Huddersfield Giants 78% / Salford Red Devils 22% · ACCU Stadium · Sun, 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Huddersfield Giants: Ashton Golding (35'), Adam Swift (69' Tipped ⚡), Jacob Gagai (72' Tipped ⚡), Kieran Rush (79') · Salford Red Devils: Justin Sangare (5' 1st Tipped ⚡)

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | 78% | Won |
| Salford Red Devils | 22% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 16.3 predicted → 14 actual · Markets hit: 2/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Huddersfield Giants vs Salford Red Devils Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 26 2025**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 25 July 2026, 07:18 pm_

Huddersfield Giants 22–8 Salford Red Devils in Super League Round 26 at ACCU Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Huddersfield Giants beat Salford Red Devils 22–8 at ACCU Stadium. Trailing 8–4 at half-time, Huddersfield Giants flipped the game after the break.

Justin Sangare opened the scoring; Huddersfield Giants crossed through Ashton Golding, Adam Swift, Jacob Gagai and Kieran Rush; Salford Red Devils scored through Justin Sangare.

Salford Red Devils were the cleaner side with the ball, coughing it up just 4 times to 8. Huddersfield Giants were sharper in attack, breaking the line 6 times to 1 and busting 45 tackles. Salford Red Devils held the discipline edge, conceding 1 penalty to 5.

**Key Match Stats**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Salford Red Devils |
|---|---|---|
| **1,181** | Run metres | 603 |
| **6** | Line breaks | 1 |
| **45** | Tackle busts | 18 |
| **8** | Offloads | 4 |
| 8 | Errors | **4** |
| 5 | Penalties conceded | **1** |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Salford Red Devils |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | 1 |
| 2/3 | Goals | 2/2 |
| 5 | Penalties Conceded | 1 |
| 8 | Errors | 4 |
| 1 | Sin Bins | 1 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Huddersfield Giants to win at 78% probability. The margin model was sharp, predicting Huddersfield Giants by 16.3 vs the actual margin of 14 points. Huddersfield Giants trailed 4–8 at half-time before staging a second-half comeback to win 22–8. The model went 5/15 on this match. The 13-24 margin band call landed.

**Ref Watch: Questionable** (45/100) — penalties Huddersfield Giants 5 · Salford Red Devils 1.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 77.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — model probability 77.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 13-24 — model probability 77.7% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 16 · Predicted total: 41

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Huddersfield Giants here: 78% to see off Salford Red Devils. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Huddersfield Giants sit 153 ELO points clear, 1326 to 1173. Form leans Huddersfield Giants' way: 2 from their last 5, against 1 for Salford Red Devils.

On paper Salford Red Devils shade it, ahead on 4 of 7 factors including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control. The model still sides with Huddersfield Giants, which says ELO Difference and Recent Win Rate carry the most weight. The margin model has Huddersfield Giants by 16.3, with the two sides combining for about 41. Huddersfield Giants to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Salford Red Devils |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 9.4pts | Avg Score | 10.6pts |
| 28.4pts | Avg Conceded | 39.0pts |
| -19.0pts | Avg Margin | -28.4pts |
| 825.2m | Run Metres | 542.0m |
| 1.6 | Clean Breaks | 1.8 |
| 264.4 | Tackles | 225.0 |
| 6.8 | Errors | 4.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | R21 W · R22 L · R23 W · R24 L · R25 L | 9.4 |
| Salford Red Devils | R21 L · R22 L · R23 L · R24 W · R25 L | 10.6 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Salford Red Devils lead 4-1

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R5 | Salford Red Devils | 23 – 10 | Huddersfield Giants |
| 2024 | — | Huddersfield Giants | 16 – 18 | Salford Red Devils |
| 2024 | R23 | Salford Red Devils | 60 – 10 | Huddersfield Giants |
| 2024 | R18 | Huddersfield Giants | 16 – 8 | Salford Red Devils |
| 2023 | R22 | Huddersfield Giants | 8 – 32 | Salford Red Devils |

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the middle: Super League's 9th-ranked middle attack (0.92 tries/game) runs at a Salford Red Devils defence ranked 12th there (2.72 conceded/game). Key man: Flanagan, 10 tries in that channel this season.
- Salford Red Devils' best path is the middle: Super League's 12th-ranked middle attack (0.52 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 11th there (2.04 conceded/game). Key man: Sangare, 3 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Huddersfield Giants | Salford Red Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.48/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 1.48/g (def 10th (weak)) | 0.24/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 1.72/g (def 12th (weak)) |
| Middle | 0.92/g (att 9th (weak)) · concedes 2.04/g (def 11th (weak)) | 0.52/g (att 12th (weak)) · concedes 2.72/g (def 12th (weak)) |
| Right | 0.44/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 0.92/g (def 8th) | 0.32/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 2.24/g (def 12th (weak)) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Salford Red Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 12th (weak) | 11th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 10th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 20 | 4 · 20 |
| Try Assists | 0.7/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 65m/g | 87m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 2.2/g | 2.5/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.2/g | 0.4/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 90% | 88.4% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Salford Red Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 9th (weak) | 12th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 12th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 27 · 63 | 11 · 93 |
| Try Assists | 0.4/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 353m/g | 212m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 11/g | 6.8/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.2/g | 1.1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 80.1% | 85.3% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Salford Red Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 8th |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 12th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 7 · 18 | 7 · 29 |
| Try Assists | 0/g | 0.2/g |
| Run Metres | 188m/g | 167m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 4.9/g | 4.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 0.3/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.7% | 91.5% |

**Who scores on Salford Red Devils** — 2nd Rows 0.46/g (lg 0.25) +84% · Five-Eighths 0.29/g (lg 0.19) +53% · Locks 0.06/g (lg 0.04) +50%
**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Centres 0.56/g (lg 0.4) +40% · Wingers 1.2/g (lg 0.9) +33% · Fullbacks 0.27/g (lg 0.21) +29%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at ACCU Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Flanagan | FB | 10 in 21g | 6/10g (0·0·1·0·1·2·0·2·0·0) | 0/0g | 4/3g | 39% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.10 AI 76% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $10.86 AI 23% ✗ Not first | — |
| 2 | Adam Swift | WG | 6 in 14g | 4/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·1) | 5/14g | 1/1g | 60% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.32 AI 70% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $12.38 AI 19% ✗ Not first | 🏉 69' |
| 3 | Jake Bibby | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.08 AI 51% ✗ No try | — |
| 4 | Jacob Gagai | CE | 10 in 23g | 4/10g (0·0·1·1·0·1·0·1·0·0) | 0/0g | 3/4g | 39% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.79 AI 57% ✓ Scored | 🏉 72' |
| 5 | Sam Halsall | WG | 3 in 20g | 1/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/7g | 0/4g | 20% | — | — |
| 6 | Olly Russell | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Kieran Rush | HB | 0 in 16g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/4g | 0% | — | 🏉 79' |
| 8 | Leroy Cudjoe | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 0 in 20g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/4g | 0% | — | — |
| 10 | Tom Burgess | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 11 | Joe Greenwood | 2R | 4 in 21g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 6/14g | 0/3g | 12% | — | — |
| 12 | Jack Billington | 2R | 0 in 10g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/2g | 0% | — | — |
| 13 | Harry Rushton | LK | 0 in 18g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/4g | 6% | — | — |
| 14 | Ashton Golding | INT | 0 in 25g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/12g | 0/4g | 2% | — | 🏉 35' |
| 15 | Tristan Powell | INT | 0 in 13g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/4g | 0% | — | — |
| 16 | George King | INT | 1 in 14g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/15g | 0/4g | 2% | — | — |
| 17 | Fenton Rogers | INT | 0 in 13g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/3g | 0/3g | 3% | — | — |

**Salford Red Devils** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Walker | FB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 2 | Neil djeukam | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.68 AI 60% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $14.97 AI 16% ✗ Not first | — |
| 3 | Louix Gorman | CE | 0 in 2g | 0/3g (0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 4 | Jack Darbyshire | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 5 | Nathan Connell | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.68 AI 60% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $14.97 AI 16% ✗ Not first | — |
| 6 | Rowan Milnes | 5/8 | 2 in 15g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/8g | 0/0g | 18% | — | — |
| 7 | Esan Marsters | HB | 2 in 18g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 20% | — | — |
| 8 | Justin Sangare | PR | 3 in 21g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·2·0) | 0/6g | 0/0g | 10% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.36 AI 46% ✓ Scored | 🏉 5' |
| 9 | Joe Mellor | HK | 2 in 9g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0) | 6/11g | 0/0g | 20% | — | — |
| 10 | Tiaki Chan | PR | 2 in 20g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/5g | 0/0g | 10% | — | — |
| 11 | Dan Russell | 2R | 1 in 18g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 7% | — | — |
| 12 | Leon Ruan | 2R | 0 in 3g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/0g | 3% | — | — |
| 13 | Harvey Wilson | LK | 2 in 20g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 10% | — | — |
| 14 | Toby Warren | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 15 | Isaac Shaw | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 16 | Sam Davis | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 17 | Nene Macdonald | INT | 3 in 5g | 6/10g (1·1·0·1·0·0·0·0·2·1) | 3/4g | 0/0g | 38% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.85 AI 56% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $16.18 AI 15% ✗ Not first | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Huddersfield Giants 1326 · Salford Red Devils 1173 · ELO difference: 153 in favour of Huddersfield Giants

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Salford Red Devils |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Salford Red Devils |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Salford Red Devils |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | — |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Salford Red Devils |

**Model Confidence: 78%** — Huddersfield Giants predicted to win by 16 points · Predicted total: 41 pts

**Record:** 2/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 09:18 UTC (latest tip update)