# Huddersfield Giants v Leeds Rhinos — Super League Round 25 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Huddersfield Giants 0 – 26 Leeds Rhinos

_Leeds Rhinos put Huddersfield Giants to the sword._

Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Huddersfield Giants 29% / Leeds Rhinos 71% · ACCU Stadium · Thu, 04 Sept, 10:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Huddersfield Giants: none · Leeds Rhinos: Harry Newman (10' 1st Tipped ⚡), Morgan Gannon (59'), Brodie Croft (75' Tipped ⚡), Mikolaj Oledzki (79')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos | 71% | Won |
| Huddersfield Giants | 29% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 10.3 predicted → 26 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Huddersfield Giants vs Leeds Rhinos Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 25 2025**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 25 July 2026, 07:17 pm_

Huddersfield Giants 0–26 Leeds Rhinos in Super League Round 25 at ACCU Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Leeds Rhinos overran Huddersfield Giants 26–0 at ACCU Stadium.

Harry Newman opened the scoring; Leeds Rhinos scored through Harry Newman, Morgan Gannon, Brodie Croft and Mikolaj Oledzki.

Leeds Rhinos were the cleaner side with the ball, coughing it up just 9 times to 11. Leeds Rhinos were sharper in attack, breaking the line 3 times to 2. Leeds Rhinos held the discipline edge, conceding 3 penalties to 6.

**Key Match Stats**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| 669 | Run metres | **1,478** |
| 2 | Line breaks | **3** |
| 34 | Tackle busts | 34 |
| 3 | Offloads | **7** |
| 11 | Errors | **9** |
| 6 | Penalties conceded | **3** |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Tries | 3 |
| 0/0 | Goals | 5/6 |
| 6 | Penalties Conceded | 3 |
| 11 | Errors | 9 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Leeds Rhinos to win at 71% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 10.3 but the actual margin was 26 points. The game's 26 points came in 17 points lower than the predicted 43. The model went 3/15 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (21/100) — penalties Huddersfield Giants 6 · Leeds Rhinos 3.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 70.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 70.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 70.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 10 · Predicted total: 43

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Leeds Rhinos here: 71% to see off Huddersfield Giants. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Leeds Rhinos sit 401 ELO points clear, 1735 to 1334. Form leans Leeds Rhinos' way: 4 from their last 5, against 3 for Huddersfield Giants.

Leeds Rhinos own the matchup too, leading 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. The margin model has Leeds Rhinos by 10.3, with the two sides combining for about 43. Leeds Rhinos to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 15.4pts | Avg Score | 32.4pts |
| 26.0pts | Avg Conceded | 8.2pts |
| -10.6pts | Avg Margin | 24.2pts |
| 826.0m | Run Metres | 1226.6m |
| 1.8 | Clean Breaks | 4.6 |
| 239.2 | Tackles | 283.4 |
| 5.8 | Errors | 8.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | R20 W · R21 W · R22 L · R23 W · R24 L | 15.4 |
| Leeds Rhinos | R20 L · R21 W · R22 W · R23 W · R24 W | 32.4 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Leeds Rhinos lead 4-1

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R12 | Leeds Rhinos | 52 – 0 | Huddersfield Giants | Leeds Rhinos 83% ✓ |
| 2026 | R8 | Huddersfield Giants | 22 – 56 | Leeds Rhinos | Huddersfield Giants 54% ✗ |
| 2025 | R8 | Leeds Rhinos | 28 – 6 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2024 | — | Leeds Rhinos | 24 – 30 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2024 | R19 | Huddersfield Giants | 6 – 34 | Leeds Rhinos | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in 1 of the last 2 decided meetings it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the middle: Super League's 8th-ranked middle attack (0.96 tries/game) runs at a Leeds Rhinos defence ranked 3rd there (0.75 conceded/game). Key man: Flanagan, 10 tries in that channel this season.
- Leeds Rhinos' best path is the middle: Super League's 4th-ranked middle attack (1.88 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 11th there (2.04 conceded/game). Key man: Miller, 9 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Huddersfield Giants | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.5/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 1.54/g (def 11th (weak)) | 0.75/g (att 8th) · concedes 0.63/g (def 3rd (strong)) |
| Middle | 0.96/g (att 8th) · concedes 2.04/g (def 11th (weak)) | 1.88/g (att 4th (strong)) · concedes 0.75/g (def 3rd (strong)) |
| Right | 0.46/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 0.92/g (def 8th) | 1.29/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 0.46/g (def 2nd (strong)) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 12th (weak) | 6th |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 3rd (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 19 | 13 · 6 |
| Try Assists | 0.7/g | 1.7/g |
| Run Metres | 67m/g | 141m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 2.3/g | 3.6/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 0.5/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 90.1% | 92.7% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 9th (weak) | 6th |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 4th (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 27 · 62 | 48 · 30 |
| Try Assists | 0.5/g | 1.4/g |
| Run Metres | 356m/g | 577m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 10.5/g | 19.1/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.2/g | 2.5/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 79.5% | 84.9% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 3rd (strong) |
| Defence rank | 9th (weak) | 1st (strong) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 7 · 17 | 17 · 5 |
| Try Assists | 0/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 187m/g | 326m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 5/g | 7/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 0.7/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.8% | 93.6% |

**Who scores on Leeds Rhinos** — Locks 0.06/g (lg 0.04) +50% · Hookers 0.09/g (lg 0.09) +0% · Centres 0.36/g (lg 0.4) -10%
**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Centres 0.55/g (lg 0.4) +38% · Wingers 1.22/g (lg 0.9) +36% · Fullbacks 0.27/g (lg 0.2) +35%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at ACCU Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Flanagan | FB | 10 in 20g | 7/10g (1·0·0·1·0·1·2·0·2·0) | 0/1g | 4/2g | 43% | 🎯 First Try $11.11 AI 26% ✗ Not first | — |
| 2 | Sam Halsall | WG | 3 in 19g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/4g | 0/3g | 20% | — | — |
| 3 | Jacob Gagai | CE | 10 in 22g | 6/10g (2·0·0·1·1·0·1·0·1·0) | 0/1g | 3/3g | 44% | 🎯 First Try $11.11 AI 15% ✗ Not first | — |
| 4 | Jake Bibby | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 5 | Aidan McGowan | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | 🎯 First Try $11.11 AI 18% ✗ Not first | — |
| 6 | Olly Russell | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Kieran Rush | HB | 0 in 15g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/3g | 0% | — | — |
| 8 | Tom Burgess | PR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 0 in 19g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/3g | 0% | — | — |
| 10 | Tristan Powell | PR | 0 in 12g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/3g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Joe Greenwood | 2R | 4 in 20g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0) | 3/14g | 0/2g | 14% | — | — |
| 12 | Jack Billington | 2R | 0 in 9g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| 13 | Harry Rushton | LK | 0 in 17g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/3g | 6% | — | — |
| 14 | Ashton Golding | INT | 0 in 24g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/8g | 0/3g | 2% | — | — |
| 15 | Fenton Rogers | INT | 0 in 12g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/2g | 3% | — | — |
| 16 | George King | INT | 1 in 13g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/17g | 0/3g | 4% | — | — |
| 17 | Marshall Land | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |

**Leeds Rhinos** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lachlan Miller | FB | 9 in 20g | 6/10g (0·1·1·0·1·0·1·1·1·0) | 2/3g | 0/0g | 42% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.69 AI 60% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $15.03 AI 13% ✗ Not first | — |
| 2 | Chris Hankinson | WG | 2 in 16g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/7g | 0/0g | 20% | — | — |
| 3 | Harry Newman | CE | 10 in 24g | 5/10g (0·2·0·0·1·0·0·1·1·0) | 1/11g | 0/0g | 34% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.12 AI 50% ✓ Scored | 🏉 10' |
| 4 | Ned Mccormack | CE | no games | 1/3g (0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 33% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.54 AI 42% ✗ No try | — |
| 5 | Ryan Hall | WG | 9 in 22g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·2·0·1) | 10/15g | 0/0g | 32% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.88 AI 55% ✗ No try | — |
| 6 | Jake Connor | 5/8 | 7 in 24g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·1·1) | 3/12g | 0/0g | 22% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.41 AI 45% ✗ No try | — |
| 7 | Brodie Croft | HB | 5 in 19g | 4/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·2·0·1) | 2/8g | 0/0g | 26% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.88 AI 55% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $16.40 AI 11% ✗ Not first | 🏉 75' |
| 8 | Mikolaj Oledzki | PR | 1 in 17g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/14g | 0/0g | 4% | — | 🏉 79' |
| 9 | Andy Ackers | HK | 0 in 10g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/10g | 0/0g | 4% | — | — |
| 10 | Cooper Jenkins | PR | 1 in 22g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 11 | Morgan Gannon | 2R | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 59' |
| 12 | James Mcdonnell | 2R | 8 in 24g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·1) | 2/6g | 0/0g | 16% | — | — |
| 13 | Kallum Watkins | LK | 6 in 21g | 3/10g (0·2·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 6/19g | 0/0g | 20% | — | — |
| 14 | Jarrod O'Connor | INT | 1 in 23g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 1/10g | 0/0g | 4% | — | — |
| 15 | Sam Lisone | INT | 6 in 24g | 3/10g (0·0·1·0·0·1·1·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/0g | 16% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.92 AI 37% ✗ No try | — |
| 16 | James Bentley | INT | 3 in 23g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·1·0·0) | 0/11g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |
| 17 | Presley Cassell | INT | 2 in 7g | 2/7g (0·0·0·0·1·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 29% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.80 AI 38% ✗ No try | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Huddersfield Giants 1334 · Leeds Rhinos 1735 · ELO difference: 401 in favour of Leeds Rhinos

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | — |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Leeds Rhinos |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Leeds Rhinos |

**Model Confidence: 71%** — Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 10 points · Predicted total: 43 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 09:17 UTC (latest tip update)