Warrington Wolves
Salford Red Devils
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
75%
Salford Red Devils
25%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves are clear favourites here at 75%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Warrington Wolves carry a 271-point ELO rating advantage (1408 vs 1137). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 1 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 22.5 points with a combined total of 48.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.03
Lost ✗
Edge
-22.5%
Line / Spread
Warrington Wolves +22.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Warrington Wolves 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R19L R20L R21L R22W R23L older → newer | 17.6 |
Salford Red Devils | R19L R20L R21L R22L R23L | 6.0 |
Avg Conceded
21.8
Warrington Wolves
56.4
Salford Red Devils
Avg Margin
-4.2
Warrington Wolves
-50.4
Salford Red Devils
Run Metres
930
Warrington Wolves
378
Salford Red Devils
Clean Breaks
2.4
Warrington Wolves
1.0
Salford Red Devils
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
75%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 23 points
Predicted total: 48 · Line: +22.5