# Wakefield Trinity v Huddersfield Giants — Super League Round 24 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Wakefield Trinity 48 – 2 Huddersfield Giants

_Wakefield Trinity run riot over Huddersfield Giants._

Half time: 18 – 2 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Wakefield Trinity 62% / Huddersfield Giants 38% · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Sat, 30 Aug, 10:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Wakefield Trinity: Matty Russell (7' 1st), Caius Faatili (18'), Harvey Smith (36'), Seth Nikotemo (43'), Jake Trueman (46'), Renouf Atoni (52'), Josh Rourke (56'), Matty Russell (69' 1st) · Huddersfield Giants: none

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | 62% | Won |
| Huddersfield Giants | 38% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 4.3 predicted → 46 actual · Markets hit: 1/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Wakefield Trinity vs Huddersfield Giants Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 24 2025**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 25 July 2026, 07:17 pm_

Wakefield Trinity 48–2 Huddersfield Giants in Super League Round 24 at The Diy Kitchens Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Eleven line breaks to nil. That's the number that explains 48-2, and everything else about Wakefield Trinity's demolition of Huddersfield Giants at The DIY Kitchens Stadium follows from it.

Wakefield led 18-2 at the break and simply kept going, adding 30 more points after half-time while Huddersfield never found a way through. When one side breaks the line eleven times and the other doesn't manage it once, the scoreboard was always going to get ugly.

The shape of it was there from the start. Matty Russell opened the scoring in the 7th minute, Mason Lino added the extras, and by the 18th minute Wakefield led 12-0 through Caius Faatili. Huddersfield's only points of the entire match came from a George Flanagan penalty goal right on half-time, a small mercy that made it 18-2 at the break. From there Wakefield scored five more tries without reply: Harvey Smith just before half-time, then Seth Nikotemo, Jake Trueman, Renouf Atoni and Josh Rourke all crossing between the 43rd and 56th minutes. Russell added a second late to round it out at 48-2.

The pre-match numbers said this gap should exist, just not this wide. Huddersfield came in rated stronger in every positional category that matters in attack, forwards 805 to 732, backs 1023 to 680, halves 833 to 600. On paper that's a side built to control the ball and the middle of the field. None of it translated. Wakefield ran for 1,276 metres to Huddersfield's 599, more than double, and backed it up with 35 tackle busts to 13. A backline rated that much stronger and it still couldn't get out of its own end.

Huddersfield's one genuine positive was ball security, just 6 errors to Wakefield's 9. In most games that discipline buys you a foothold. Here it barely mattered, because you can't do anything with clean ball if you're not getting field position to use it. They also won the penalty count, conceding 5 to Wakefield's 7, another stat that looked good on the sheet and did nothing for the result.

Recent form had these two closer than the final margin suggests. Wakefield's last five reads WWLWL with an average winning margin of 2.6 points, hardly the profile of a side that puts 48 on someone. Huddersfield had actually won 3 of their last 5 too, LWWLW, despite conceding more than they scored on average. Whatever those trends promised, this performance tore it up.

Alphr's model backed Wakefield Trinity at 62% and got the winner right. The margin was another story entirely, tipped at 4.3 with a combined total near 44. The actual margin was 46, and the total blew past 50. Call it 1 from 15 on this one, a clean win pick sitting next to a margin projection that wasn't in the same postcode as reality.

Wins and misses, all of it. Wakefield Trinity turned a competitive-on-paper form line into a rout, and Huddersfield Giants leave with a scoreline that doesn't reward a single one of their better positional ratings.

**Key Match Stats**

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| **1,276** | Run metres | 599 |
| **11** | Line breaks | 0 |
| **35** | Tackle busts | 13 |
| 8 | Offloads | 8 |
| 9 | Errors | **6** |
| **5** | Penalties conceded | 7 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tries | 0 |
| 8/9 | Goals | 1/1 |
| 5 | Penalties Conceded | 7 |
| 9 | Errors | 6 |
| 1 | Sin Bins | 2 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Wakefield Trinity to win at 62% probability. The margin model missed here, predicting 4.3 but the actual margin was 46 points. Wakefield Trinity led 18–2 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 46. The model went 1/15 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (15/100) — penalties Wakefield Trinity 5 · Huddersfield Giants 7.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 62.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 4 · Predicted total: 44

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

Wakefield Trinity are the call at 62%, but Huddersfield Giants stay live at 38%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Wakefield Trinity sit 144 ELO points clear, 1512 to 1369.

The factors split evenly, which is why the margin stays tight. The margin model has Wakefield Trinity by 4.3, with the two sides combining for about 44. Lean Wakefield Trinity, but it shapes as a genuine contest.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Wakefield Trinity | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 23.0pts | Avg Score | 17.0pts |
| 20.4pts | Avg Conceded | 25.6pts |
| 2.6pts | Avg Margin | -8.6pts |
| 862.8m | Run Metres | 845.0m |
| 2.6 | Clean Breaks | 2.2 |
| 235.4 | Tackles | 235.8 |
| 8.6 | Errors | 6.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Wakefield Trinity | R19 W · R20 W · R21 L · R22 W · R23 L | 23.0 |
| Huddersfield Giants | R19 L · R20 W · R21 W · R22 L · R23 W | 17.0 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Wakefield Trinity lead 3-2

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R16 | Wakefield Trinity | 29 – 23 | Huddersfield Giants | Wakefield Trinity 87% ✓ |
| 2026 | R2 | Huddersfield Giants | 16 – 18 | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 52% ✓ |
| 2025 | R19 | Huddersfield Giants | 10 – 46 | Wakefield Trinity | not priced |
| 2023 | R19 | Huddersfield Giants | 34 – 6 | Wakefield Trinity | not priced |
| 2023 | R3 | Wakefield Trinity | 0 – 8 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in 2 of the last 2 decided meetings it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Wakefield Trinity's best path is the middle: Super League's 3rd-ranked middle attack (1.83 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 10th there (1.91 conceded/game). Key man: Jowitt, 12 tries in that channel this season.
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the right edge: Super League's 10th-ranked right edge attack (0.48 tries/game) runs at a Wakefield Trinity defence ranked 9th there (1.04 conceded/game). Key man: Gagai, 4 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Wakefield Trinity | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.57/g (att 9th (weak)) · concedes 0.74/g (def 5th) | 0.52/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 1.57/g (def 11th (weak)) |
| Middle | 1.83/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 1.04/g (def 5th) | 1/g (att 8th) · concedes 1.91/g (def 10th (weak)) |
| Right | 1/g (att 5th) · concedes 1.04/g (def 9th (weak)) | 0.48/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 0.87/g (def 8th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Wakefield Trinity | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 5th | 12th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 4th (strong) | 10th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 13 · 7 | 3 · 18 |
| Try Assists | 1.7/g | 0.7/g |
| Run Metres | 92m/g | 68m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 2.6/g | 2.3/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 0.3/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 88.5% | 90.3% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Wakefield Trinity | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 9th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 9th (weak) | 10th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 37 · 46 | 27 · 59 |
| Try Assists | 0.7/g | 0.5/g |
| Run Metres | 411m/g | 361m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 11.3/g | 10.7/g |
| Line Breaks | 2/g | 1.3/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 83.2% | 79.4% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Wakefield Trinity | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 2nd (strong) | 8th |
| Defence rank | 2nd (strong) | 9th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 21 · 5 | 7 · 15 |
| Try Assists | 0.5/g | 0/g |
| Run Metres | 322m/g | 187m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 5.7/g | 5.1/g |
| Line Breaks | 1/g | 0.3/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 94.4% | 92.9% |

**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Centres 0.56/g (lg 0.4) +40% · Wingers 1.21/g (lg 0.89) +36% · Fullbacks 0.26/g (lg 0.2) +30%
**Who scores on Wakefield Trinity** — Hookers 0.14/g (lg 0.09) +56% · Fullbacks 0.3/g (lg 0.2) +50% · Wingers 1.28/g (lg 0.89) +44%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at The Diy Kitchens Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Wakefield Trinity** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Rourke | FB | 3 in 19g | 2/10g (0·0·0·2·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 3/9g | 22% | — | 🏉 56' |
| 2 | Matty Russell | WG | 1 in 6g | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 2/5g | 0/2g | 30% | — | 🏉 7' 69' |
| 3 | Cameron Scott | CE | 3 in 17g | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 2/6g | 2/7g | 26% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.75 AI 27% ✗ No try | — |
| 4 | Oliver Pratt | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.66 AI 40% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $21.95 AI 16% ✗ Not first | — |
| 5 | Tom Johnstone | WG | 8 in 18g | 5/10g (0·1·1·0·0·0·1·1·1·0) | 8/11g | 4/9g | 44% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.71 AI 59% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $15.22 AI 28% ✗ Not first | — |
| 6 | Jake Trueman | 5/8 | 0 in 12g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 4/10g | 0/5g | 10% | — | 🏉 46' |
| 7 | Mason Lino | HB | 4 in 22g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/7g | 2/11g | 10% | — | — |
| 8 | Mike McMeeken | PR | 4 in 20g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 7/16g | 1/10g | 12% | — | — |
| 9 | Liam Hood | HK | 3 in 20g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/8g | 10% | — | — |
| 10 | Caius Faatili | PR | 7 in 23g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 5/11g | 15% | — | 🏉 18' |
| 11 | Seth Nikotemo | 2R | 1 in 13g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 1/7g | 9% | — | 🏉 43' |
| 12 | Matty Storton | 2R | 2 in 9g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 1/7g | 1/4g | 12% | — | — |
| 13 | Jay Pitts | LK | 1 in 22g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 3/9g | 1/11g | 4% | — | — |
| 14 | Renouf Atoni | INT | 0 in 11g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/5g | 2% | — | 🏉 52' |
| 15 | Isaiah Vagana | INT | 1 in 21g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/9g | 3% | — | — |
| 16 | Mathieu Cozza | INT | 0 in 15g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/7g | 0% | — | — |
| 17 | Harvey Smith | INT | 1 in 21g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/10g | 3% | — | 🏉 36' |

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Flanagan | FB | 10 in 19g | 8/10g (1·1·0·0·1·0·1·2·0·2) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 48% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.35 AI 69% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $12.66 AI 30% ✗ Not first | — |
| 2 | Jake Bibby | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.99 AI 53% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $17.18 AI 19% ✗ Not first | — |
| 3 | Taane Milne | CE | 2 in 19g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 14% | — | — |
| 4 | Jacob Gagai | CE | 10 in 21g | 6/10g (0·2·0·0·1·1·0·1·0·1) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 45% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.92 AI 55% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $16.66 AI 20% ✗ Not first | — |
| 5 | Sam Halsall | WG | 3 in 18g | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/4g | 0/0g | 24% | — | — |
| 6 | Kieran Rush | 5/8 | 0 in 14g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 7 | Marshall Land | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 8 | Fenton Rogers | PR | 0 in 11g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 3% | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 0 in 18g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 10 | Tristan Powell | PR | 0 in 11g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Joe Greenwood | 2R | 4 in 19g | 3/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0) | 4/10g | 0/0g | 14% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.37 AI 31% ✗ No try | — |
| 12 | Harry Rushton | 2R | 0 in 16g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 13 | Leroy Cudjoe | LK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 14 | Ashton Golding | INT | 0 in 23g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/8g | 0/0g | 2% | — | — |
| 15 | Matty English | INT | 0 in 19g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/7g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 16 | Oliver Wilson | INT | 2 in 16g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/0g | 6% | — | — |
| 17 | Tom Burgess | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Wakefield Trinity 1512 · Huddersfield Giants 1369 · ELO difference: 144 in favour of Wakefield Trinity

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Wakefield Trinity |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | — |

**Model Confidence: 62%** — Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 4 points · Predicted total: 44 pts

**Record:** 1/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 09:17 UTC (latest tip update)