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Super League | Round 24

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THE DIY KITCHENS STADIUM • SATURDAY 30 AUG, 10:00 AM AEST
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WAK

Wakefield Trinity

482
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Wakefield Trinity at 62%

AI Win Probability

62%Wakefield TrinityFavourite

Wakefield Trinity

62%

Huddersfield Giants

38%

AI Match Overview

Wakefield Trinity hold the advantage at 62% win probability, though Huddersfield Giants are far from out of this at 38%. Huddersfield Giants are stronger on paper across 3 of 7 key factors, including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control, but Wakefield Trinity counter with ELO Difference and Venue Advantage which tips the scales. Wakefield Trinity carry a 144-point ELO rating advantage (1512 vs 1369). The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 4.3 points with a combined total of 44.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.22

Winner ✓

Edge

-19.8%

Line / Spread

Wakefield Trinity +4.3 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Wakefield Trinity 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Wakefield Trinity
R19W
R20W
R21L
R22W
R23L

older → newer

23.0
Huddersfield Giants
R19L
R20W
R21W
R22L
R23W
17.0

Avg Conceded

20.4

Wakefield Trinity

25.6

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

2.6

Wakefield Trinity

-8.6

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

863

Wakefield Trinity

845

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

2.6

Wakefield Trinity

2.2

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Huddersfield Giants lead 3-2
Mar 2026WAK 18 - 16 HUD
Jul 2025WAK 46 - 10 HUD
Jul 2023WAK 6 - 34 HUD
Mar 2023WAK 0 - 8 HUD
Sep 2022WAK 14 - 16 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

WAK
1512Overall1369
HUD
ELO difference: +144 in favour of Wakefield Trinity

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

732Forwards805
Best: 930HUD +72Best: 1026
680Backs1023
Best: 733HUD +343Best: 1305
600Halves833
Best: 600HUD +233Best: 833
682Hooker822
HUD +140

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

WAK
Stat
HUD
3.0
Wins (Last 5)
3.0
23.0pts
Avg Score
17.0pts
20.4pts
Avg Conceded
25.6pts
2.6pts
Avg Margin
-8.6pts
862.8m
Run Metres
845.0m
2.6
Clean Breaks
2.2
235.4
Tackles
235.8
8.6
Errors
6.2

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Trinity
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Giants
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Giants
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Trinity
7
H2H History6.0%

Model Confidence

62%

Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 4 points

Predicted total: 44 · Line: +4.3

3/4 match predictions correct