# Leigh Leopards v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 24 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Leigh Leopards v Castleford Tigers
Thu, 28 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · Progress with Unity Stadium · Round 24

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 85.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 85.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 85.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 11 · Predicted total: 47

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Leigh Leopards | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 20.0pts | Avg Score | 7.2pts |
| 13.2pts | Avg Conceded | 38.4pts |
| 6.8pts | Avg Margin | -31.2pts |
| 1205.6m | Run Metres | 740.8m |
| 4.6 | Clean Breaks | 1.4 |
| 301.6 | Tackles | 237.0 |
| 8.2 | Errors | 8.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Leigh Leopards | R19 W · R20 W · R21 L · R22 L · R23 W | 20.0 |
| Castleford Tigers | R19 W · R20 L · R21 L · R22 L · R23 L | 7.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r24-leigh-leopards-v-castleford-tigers
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)