Hull
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Hull
25%
Leeds Rhinos
75%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 75%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leeds Rhinos carry a 217-point ELO rating advantage (1714 vs 1497). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Hull. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 5.6 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.45
Winner ✓
Edge
+6.1%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos -5.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R19W R20L R21W R22W R23L older → newer | 30.8 |
Leeds Rhinos | R19W R20L R21W R22W R23W | 34.0 |
Avg Conceded
15.2
Hull
9.4
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
15.6
Hull
24.6
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
1214
Hull
1285
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
6.0
Hull
5.4
Leeds Rhinos
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
75%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: -5.6