Catalans Dragons
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
50%
Wigan Warriors
50%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Wigan Warriors a marginal 50% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 384-point ELO rating advantage (1708 vs 1324). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 3.5 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.30
Winner ✓
Edge
-26.5%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -3.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R19L R20L R21L R22L R23W older → newer | 18.0 |
Wigan Warriors | R19L R20W R21W R22L R23W | 22.8 |
Avg Conceded
22.8
Catalans Dragons
16.0
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
-4.8
Catalans Dragons
6.8
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
793
Catalans Dragons
1112
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
2.8
Catalans Dragons
4.2
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
50%
Catalans Dragons predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: -3.5