Wigan Warriors
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
76%
Wakefield Trinity
24%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 76%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 128-point ELO rating advantage (1675 vs 1547). The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 4.2 points with a combined total of 38.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.30
Winner ✓
Edge
-1.1%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +4.2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R18W R19L R20W R21W R22L older → newer | 20.0 |
Wakefield Trinity | R18L R19W R20W R21L R22W | 24.6 |
Avg Conceded
17.6
Wigan Warriors
14.8
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
2.4
Wigan Warriors
9.8
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1021
Wigan Warriors
939
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
3.6
Wigan Warriors
2.6
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
76%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 38 · Line: +4.2