St Helens
Hull
AI Win Probability
St Helens
78%
Hull
22%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 78%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees St Helens ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. St Helens carry a 179-point ELO rating advantage (1689 vs 1510). The margin model predicts St Helens by 7.0 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.20
Winner ✓
Edge
-5.8%
Line / Spread
St Helens +7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R18W R19L R20W R21W R22W older → newer | 27.2 |
Hull | R18W R19W R20L R21W R22W | 32.0 |
Avg Conceded
4.8
St Helens
14.0
Hull
Avg Margin
22.4
St Helens
18.0
Hull
Run Metres
1308
St Helens
1296
Hull
Clean Breaks
5.6
St Helens
6.4
Hull
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
78%
St Helens predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: +7.0