Leigh Leopards
Salford Red Devils
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
89%
Salford Red Devils
11%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 89%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Leigh Leopards carry a 475-point ELO rating advantage (1617 vs 1143). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 20.2 points with a combined total of 50.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.13
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +20.2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R18W R19W R20W R21L R22L older → newer | 18.0 |
Salford Red Devils | R18W R19L R20L R21L R22L | 10.0 |
Avg Conceded
14.0
Leigh Leopards
53.2
Salford Red Devils
Avg Margin
4.0
Leigh Leopards
-43.2
Salford Red Devils
Run Metres
1197
Leigh Leopards
474
Salford Red Devils
Clean Breaks
3.6
Leigh Leopards
2.0
Salford Red Devils
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
89%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 20 points
Predicted total: 50 · Line: +20.2