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Super League | Round 23

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ACCU STADIUM • SUNDAY 24 AUG, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

2310
WAR

Warrington Wolves

❌ Upset — model favoured Warrington Wolves at 67%

AI Win Probability

67%Warrington WolvesFavourite

Huddersfield Giants

33%

Warrington Wolves

67%

AI Match Overview

Warrington Wolves are clear favourites here at 67%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Warrington Wolves ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and H2H History. Warrington Wolves carry a 120-point ELO rating advantage (1449 vs 1329). The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 1.5 points with a combined total of 43.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Warrington Wolves to Win @1.38

Lost ✗

Edge

-5.4%

Line / Spread

Warrington Wolves -1.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Huddersfield Giants
R18L
R19L
R20W
R21W
R22L

older → newer

14.4
Warrington Wolves
R18W
R19L
R20L
R21L
R22W
20.4

Avg Conceded

29.6

Huddersfield Giants

21.2

Warrington Wolves

Avg Margin

-15.2

Huddersfield Giants

-0.8

Warrington Wolves

Run Metres

809

Huddersfield Giants

934

Warrington Wolves

Clean Breaks

2.2

Huddersfield Giants

2.8

Warrington Wolves

H2H History (Last 5)Warrington Wolves lead 4-1
May 2026HUD 4 - 34 WAR
Jun 2025HUD 24 - 16 WAR
Mar 2025HUD 12 - 20 WAR
Sep 2024HUD 0 - 66 WAR
Jun 2024HUD 0 - 48 WAR
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HUD
1329Overall1449
WAR
ELO difference: -120 in favour of Warrington Wolves

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

773Forwards824
Best: 1030WAR +51Best: 1051
900Backs856
Best: 991HUD +44Best: 989
838Halves751
Best: 838HUD +88Best: 751
765Hooker904
WAR +139

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HUD
Stat
WAR
2.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
14.4pts
Avg Score
20.4pts
29.6pts
Avg Conceded
21.2pts
-15.2pts
Avg Margin
-0.8pts
808.6m
Run Metres
934.2m
2.2
Clean Breaks
2.8
236.8
Tackles
240.6
7.6
Errors
8.2

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Wolves
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Wolves
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Giants
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
Wolves

Model Confidence

67%

Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 1 points

Predicted total: 43 · Line: -1.5

0/4 match predictions correct