# Catalans Dragons v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 23 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Catalans Dragons v Castleford Tigers
Sat, 23 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 23

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 63.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons — model probability 63.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 63.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 9 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Catalans Dragons | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 14.4pts | Avg Score | 10.8pts |
| 26.8pts | Avg Conceded | 36.0pts |
| -12.4pts | Avg Margin | -25.2pts |
| 761.6m | Run Metres | 822.2m |
| 2.4 | Clean Breaks | 2.4 |
| 230.2 | Tackles | 244.6 |
| 7.8 | Errors | 8.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Catalans Dragons | R18 L · R19 L · R20 L · R21 L · R22 L | 14.4 |
| Castleford Tigers | R18 L · R19 W · R20 L · R21 L · R22 L | 10.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)