Warrington Wolves
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
67%
Catalans Dragons
33%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves are clear favourites here at 67%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Warrington Wolves ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Warrington Wolves carry a 134-point ELO rating advantage (1433 vs 1299). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 7.4 points with a combined total of 38.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.24
Winner ✓
Edge
-13.3%
Line / Spread
Warrington Wolves +7.4 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R17W R18W R19L R20L R21L older → newer | 19.2 |
Catalans Dragons | R17L R18L R19L R20L R21L | 11.2 |
Avg Conceded
19.2
Warrington Wolves
29.6
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
0.0
Warrington Wolves
-18.4
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
964
Warrington Wolves
720
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
3.2
Warrington Wolves
1.6
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
67%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 38 · Line: +7.4