Salford Red Devils
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Salford Red Devils
42%
Wakefield Trinity
58%
AI Match Overview
Wakefield Trinity hold the advantage at 58% win probability, though Salford Red Devils are far from out of this at 42%. The model sees Wakefield Trinity ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Halves Control. Wakefield Trinity carry a 380-point ELO rating advantage (1535 vs 1155). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 13.7 points with a combined total of 52.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.73
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wakefield Trinity -13.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wakefield Trinity 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Salford Red Devils | R17L R18W R19L R20L R21L older → newer | 12.4 |
Wakefield Trinity | R17W R18L R19W R20W R21L | 23.8 |
Avg Conceded
48.4
Salford Red Devils
16.0
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
-36.0
Salford Red Devils
7.8
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
627
Salford Red Devils
1211
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
2.4
Salford Red Devils
4.4
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
58%
Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 14 points
Predicted total: 52 · Line: -13.7