Hull
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Hull
75%
Leigh Leopards
25%
AI Match Overview
Hull are clear favourites here at 75%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. Leigh Leopards are stronger on paper across 4 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Venue Advantage, but Hull counter with Forward Pack and Backline Quality which tips the scales. Leigh Leopards carry a 180-point ELO rating advantage (1654 vs 1474). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Hull. The margin model predicts Hull by 5.4 points with a combined total of 50.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull to Win @2.69
Winner ✓
Edge
+37.4%
Line / Spread
Hull +5.4 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R17L R18W R19W R20L R21W older → newer | 29.6 |
Leigh Leopards | R17W R18W R19W R20W R21L | 19.2 |
Avg Conceded
14.2
Hull
12.0
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
15.4
Hull
7.2
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1200
Hull
1216
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
6.6
Hull
3.6
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
75%
Hull predicted to win by 5 points
Predicted total: 50 · Line: +5.4