Warrington Wolves
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
64%
Wigan Warriors
36%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves hold the advantage at 64% win probability, though Wigan Warriors are far from out of this at 36%. The model sees Warrington Wolves ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Venue Advantage. Wigan Warriors carry a 242-point ELO rating advantage (1685 vs 1443). The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 9.3 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.45
Winner ✓
Edge
-5.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -9.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R16W R17W R18W R19L R20L older → newer | 20.4 |
Wigan Warriors | R16W R17L R18W R19L R20W | 20.8 |
Avg Conceded
16.4
Warrington Wolves
19.6
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
4.0
Warrington Wolves
1.2
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
958
Warrington Wolves
1111
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
3.6
Warrington Wolves
3.8
Wigan Warriors
ELO–Market Disagreement
Wigan Warriors hold the ELO advantage (1685 vs 1443), but the market favours Warrington Wolves (@1.45).
The model sides with the market, other factors override the ELO gap.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
64%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 9 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: -9.3