Wakefield Trinity
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
40%
St Helens
60%
AI Match Overview
St Helens hold the advantage at 60% win probability, though Wakefield Trinity are far from out of this at 40%. The model sees St Helens ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. St Helens carry a 67-point ELO rating advantage (1639 vs 1572). Recent form favours St Helens with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Wakefield Trinity.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.69
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.8%
Line / Spread
St Helens -0.2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R16L R17W R18L R19W R20W older → newer | 25.0 |
St Helens | R16W R17W R18W R19L R20W | 24.2 |
Avg Conceded
16.0
Wakefield Trinity
4.4
St Helens
Avg Margin
9.0
Wakefield Trinity
19.8
St Helens
Run Metres
1199
Wakefield Trinity
1267
St Helens
Clean Breaks
4.6
Wakefield Trinity
4.8
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
60%
St Helens predicted to win by 0 points
Predicted total: 38 · Line: -0.2