Leigh Leopards
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
63%
Leeds Rhinos
37%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards hold the advantage at 63% win probability, though Leeds Rhinos are far from out of this at 37%. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Leigh Leopards carry a 65-point ELO rating advantage (1686 vs 1622). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Leeds Rhinos. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 3.9 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.75
Lost ✗
Edge
+5.6%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +3.9 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R16L R17W R18W R19W R20W older → newer | 22.4 |
Leeds Rhinos | R16W R17W R18L R19W R20L | 23.6 |
Avg Conceded
17.2
Leigh Leopards
13.0
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
5.2
Leigh Leopards
10.6
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
1246
Leigh Leopards
1351
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
4.6
Leigh Leopards
5.4
Leeds Rhinos
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
63%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +3.9