# Hull KR v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 21 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Hull KR v Castleford Tigers
Sat, 09 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 21

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 84.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 84.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 13-24 — model probability 84.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 15 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Hull KR | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 32.0pts | Avg Score | 14.8pts |
| 14.0pts | Avg Conceded | 27.2pts |
| 18.0pts | Avg Margin | -12.4pts |
| 1327.4m | Run Metres | 998.0m |
| 6.8 | Clean Breaks | 3.4 |
| 283.8 | Tackles | 254.6 |
| 10.4 | Errors | 8.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Hull KR | R16 W · R17 L · R18 L · R19 W · R20 W | 32.0 |
| Castleford Tigers | R16 L · R17 L · R18 L · R19 W · R20 L | 14.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)