Huddersfield Giants
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Huddersfield Giants
47%
Catalans Dragons
53%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Catalans Dragons a marginal 53% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Catalans Dragons ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Halves Control and Venue Advantage. Recent form favours Huddersfield Giants with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Catalans Dragons by 1.3 points with a combined total of 39.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Catalans Dragons to Win @2.51
Lost ✗
Edge
+12.9%
Line / Spread
Catalans Dragons -1.3 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Catalans Dragons 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Huddersfield Giants | R16L R17W R18L R19L R20W older → newer | 16.0 |
Catalans Dragons | R16W R17L R18L R19L R20L | 16.4 |
Avg Conceded
26.8
Huddersfield Giants
26.0
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
-10.8
Huddersfield Giants
-9.6
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
811
Huddersfield Giants
755
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
2.4
Huddersfield Giants
2.0
Catalans Dragons
ELO–Market Disagreement
Catalans Dragons hold the ELO advantage (1330 vs 1314), but the market favours Huddersfield Giants (@1.66).
The model sides with ELO, Catalans Dragons predicted to win despite longer odds.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
53%
Catalans Dragons predicted to win by 1 points
Predicted total: 39 · Line: -1.3