Wigan Warriors
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
87%
Catalans Dragons
13%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 87%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 343-point ELO rating advantage (1679 vs 1336). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 14.7 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.08
Winner ✓
Edge
-5.5%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +14.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R15L R16W R17L R18W R19L older → newer | 17.2 |
Catalans Dragons | R15L R16W R17L R18L R19L | 15.2 |
Avg Conceded
19.2
Wigan Warriors
25.6
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
-2.0
Wigan Warriors
-10.4
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1068
Wigan Warriors
734
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
2.8
Wigan Warriors
1.2
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
87%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 15 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +14.7