Leigh Leopards
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
75%
Warrington Wolves
25%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 75%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Leigh Leopards carry a 223-point ELO rating advantage (1677 vs 1453). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 15.7 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.52
Winner ✓
Edge
+9.2%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +15.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R15W R16L R17W R18W R19W older → newer | 23.6 |
Warrington Wolves | R15L R16W R17W R18W R19L | 20.4 |
Avg Conceded
16.4
Leigh Leopards
17.2
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
7.2
Leigh Leopards
3.2
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1212
Leigh Leopards
976
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
4.6
Leigh Leopards
3.6
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
75%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 16 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +15.7