Warrington Wolves
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
79%
Catalans Dragons
21%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves are clear favourites here at 79%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Warrington Wolves carry a 212-point ELO rating advantage (1642 vs 1429). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 10.6 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.20
Winner ✓
Edge
-4.4%
Line / Spread
Warrington Wolves +10.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R1W older → newer | 34.2 |
Catalans Dragons | R1L | 14.0 |
Avg Conceded
8.8
Warrington Wolves
17.8
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
25.4
Warrington Wolves
-3.8
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
896
Warrington Wolves
788
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
6.2
Warrington Wolves
1.8
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
79%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 11 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +10.6