Salford Red Devils
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Salford Red Devils
47%
Leeds Rhinos
53%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Leeds Rhinos a marginal 53% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control. Leeds Rhinos carry a 46-point ELO rating advantage (1482 vs 1436).
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @2.40
Winner ✓
Edge
+11.8%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos -0.4 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Salford Red Devils | R1L older → newer | 18.2 |
Leeds Rhinos | R1L | 23.4 |
Avg Conceded
35.2
Salford Red Devils
20.8
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
-17.0
Salford Red Devils
2.6
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
592
Salford Red Devils
1031
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
3.8
Salford Red Devils
3.8
Leeds Rhinos
ELO–Market Disagreement
Leeds Rhinos hold the ELO advantage (1482 vs 1436), but the market favours Salford Red Devils (@1.71).
The model sides with ELO, Leeds Rhinos predicted to win despite longer odds.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
53%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 0 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: -0.4