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Super League | Round 2

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LEI

Leigh Leopards

2410
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Leigh Leopards at 79%

AI Win Probability

79%Leigh LeopardsFavourite

Leigh Leopards

79%

Huddersfield Giants

21%

AI Match Overview

Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 79%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Leigh Leopards carry a 208-point ELO rating advantage (1611 vs 1403). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 9.4 points with a combined total of 44.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Leigh Leopards to Win @1.22

Winner ✓

Edge

-3.2%

Line / Spread

Leigh Leopards +9.4 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Leigh Leopards
R1W

older → newer

6.6
Huddersfield Giants
R1L
15.6

Avg Conceded

16.0

Leigh Leopards

26.0

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

-9.4

Leigh Leopards

-10.4

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

883

Leigh Leopards

575

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

2.2

Leigh Leopards

1.8

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Leigh Leopards lead 5-0
May 2026LEI 30 - 16 HUD
Sep 2025LEI 30 - 16 HUD
Jun 2025LEI 28 - 24 HUD
Feb 2024LEI 16 - 10 HUD
Jul 2024LEI 20 - 16 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

LEI
1611Overall1403
HUD
ELO difference: +208 in favour of Leigh Leopards

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

910Forwards855
Best: 1160LEI +54Best: 1156
775Backs809
Best: 871HUD +35Best: 922
675Halves1000
Best: 675HUD +325Best: 1000
600Hooker1313
HUD +713

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

LEI
Stat
HUD
3.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
6.6pts
Avg Score
15.6pts
16.0pts
Avg Conceded
26.0pts
-9.4pts
Avg Margin
-10.4pts
882.8m
Run Metres
575.0m
2.2
Clean Breaks
1.8
261.2
Tackles
187.6
6.4
Errors
5.6

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Leopards
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Leopards
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Giants
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Leopards
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
Leopards

Model Confidence

79%

Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 9 points

Predicted total: 44 · Line: +9.4

2/4 match predictions correct