Hull
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Hull
24%
Wigan Warriors
76%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 76%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 356-point ELO rating advantage (1679 vs 1322). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Hull. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 5.0 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.22
Winner ✓
Edge
-6.1%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R1W older → newer | 11.6 |
Wigan Warriors | R1L | 29.8 |
Avg Conceded
38.6
Hull
0.6
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
-27.0
Hull
29.2
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
710
Hull
1352
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
1.2
Hull
6.4
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
76%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 5 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: -5.0