Wigan Warriors
Hull
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
77%
Hull
23%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 77%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 296-point ELO rating advantage (1741 vs 1444). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Hull. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 12.8 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.15
Lost ✗
Edge
-9.7%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +12.8 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R14W R15L R16W R17L R18W older → newer | 19.2 |
Hull | R14L R15W R16L R17L R18W | 16.8 |
Avg Conceded
16.4
Wigan Warriors
15.0
Hull
Avg Margin
2.8
Wigan Warriors
1.8
Hull
Run Metres
1175
Wigan Warriors
1017
Hull
Clean Breaks
3.6
Wigan Warriors
4.4
Hull
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
77%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 13 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: +12.8