St Helens
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
St Helens
46%
Leigh Leopards
54%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards hold the advantage at 54% win probability, though St Helens are far from out of this at 46%. St Helens are stronger on paper across 4 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate, but Leigh Leopards counter with Backline Quality and Halves Control which tips the scales. Recent form favours St Helens with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 4 for Leigh Leopards.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @2.90
Winner ✓
Edge
+19.9%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards -0.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R14W R15W R16W R17W R18W older → newer | 28.2 |
Leigh Leopards | R14W R15W R16L R17W R18W | 25.2 |
Avg Conceded
2.8
St Helens
19.6
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
25.4
St Helens
5.6
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1168
St Helens
1211
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
6.4
St Helens
5.6
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
54%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 1 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: -0.7