Leeds Rhinos
Salford Red Devils
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
89%
Salford Red Devils
11%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 89%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Venue Advantage. Leeds Rhinos carry a 451-point ELO rating advantage (1642 vs 1191). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 22.9 points with a combined total of 47.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.12
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +22.9 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R14W R15L R16W R17W R18L older → newer | 20.4 |
Salford Red Devils | R14L R15L R16L R17L R18W | 9.6 |
Avg Conceded
14.8
Leeds Rhinos
37.6
Salford Red Devils
Avg Margin
5.6
Leeds Rhinos
-28.0
Salford Red Devils
Run Metres
1293
Leeds Rhinos
564
Salford Red Devils
Clean Breaks
5.4
Leeds Rhinos
2.2
Salford Red Devils
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
89%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 23 points
Predicted total: 47 · Line: +22.9