Catalans Dragons
Hull KR
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
33%
Hull KR
67%
AI Match Overview
Hull KR are clear favourites here at 67%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Hull KR ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Hull KR carry a 392-point ELO rating advantage (1737 vs 1345). Recent form favours Hull KR with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Hull KR by 12.3 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull KR to Win @1.19
Winner ✓
Edge
-16.8%
Line / Spread
Hull KR -12.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull KR 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R14L R15L R16W R17L R18L older → newer | 15.2 |
Hull KR | R14W R15W R16W R17L R18L | 33.6 |
Avg Conceded
32.4
Catalans Dragons
11.6
Hull KR
Avg Margin
-17.2
Catalans Dragons
22.0
Hull KR
Run Metres
698
Catalans Dragons
1429
Hull KR
Clean Breaks
1.4
Catalans Dragons
8.8
Hull KR
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
67%
Hull KR predicted to win by 12 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: -12.3