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Super League | Round 18

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THE BRICK COMMUNITY STADIUM • FRIDAY 11 JULY, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
WIG

Wigan Warriors

3010
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Wigan Warriors at 77%

AI Win Probability

77%Wigan WarriorsFavourite

Wigan Warriors

77%

Huddersfield Giants

23%

AI Match Overview

Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 77%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 449-point ELO rating advantage (1736 vs 1287). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 12.2 points with a combined total of 50.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Wigan Warriors to Win @1.08

Winner ✓

Edge

-15.9%

Line / Spread

Wigan Warriors +12.2 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Wigan Warriors
R13W
R14W
R15L
R16W
R17L

older → newer

22.4
Huddersfield Giants
R13L
R14L
R15W
R16L
R17W
19.2

Avg Conceded

15.6

Wigan Warriors

22.0

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

6.8

Wigan Warriors

-2.8

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1262

Wigan Warriors

1048

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

4.6

Wigan Warriors

2.8

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Wigan Warriors lead 4-1
Apr 2026WIG 16 - 34 HUD
Jun 2025WIG 22 - 18 HUD
Mar 2025WIG 44 - 18 HUD
Feb 2024WIG 48 - 6 HUD
Jul 2024WIG 28 - 14 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

WIG
1736Overall1287
HUD
ELO difference: +449 in favour of Wigan Warriors

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

862Forwards774
Best: 1094WIG +88Best: 954
909Backs1007
Best: 1023HUD +97Best: 1098
828Halves1000
Best: 828HUD +172Best: 1000
636Hooker851
HUD +215

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

WIG
Stat
HUD
3.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
22.4pts
Avg Score
19.2pts
15.6pts
Avg Conceded
22.0pts
6.8pts
Avg Margin
-2.8pts
1262.0m
Run Metres
1048.0m
4.6
Clean Breaks
2.8
327.4
Tackles
292.6
11.0
Errors
7.4

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Warriors
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Warriors
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Giants
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Warriors
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Warriors
7
H2H History6.0%
Warriors

Model Confidence

77%

Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 12 points

Predicted total: 50 · Line: +12.2

2/4 match predictions correct