# Salford Red Devils v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 18 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Salford Red Devils v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 13 July, 10:00 am AEST · Salford Community Stadium · Round 18

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 60.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers — model probability 60.4% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 60.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 2 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Salford Red Devils | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 5.6pts | Avg Score | 15.6pts |
| 42.4pts | Avg Conceded | 30.4pts |
| -36.8pts | Avg Margin | -14.8pts |
| 497.6m | Run Metres | 994.8m |
| 1.2 | Clean Breaks | 3.8 |
| 201.0 | Tackles | 277.6 |
| 5.2 | Errors | 9.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Salford Red Devils | R13 L · R14 L · R15 L · R16 L · R17 L | 5.6 |
| Castleford Tigers | R13 L · R14 W · R15 L · R16 L · R17 L | 15.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)