Leeds Rhinos
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
66%
St Helens
34%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 66%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over St Helens. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leeds Rhinos carry a 39-point ELO rating advantage (1670 vs 1631). The margin model predicts St Helens by 1.7 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.49
Lost ✗
Edge
-1.2%
Line / Spread
St Helens -1.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R13W R14W R15L R16W R17W older → newer | 24.8 |
St Helens | R13L R14W R15W R16W R17W | 27.8 |
Avg Conceded
17.2
Leeds Rhinos
9.6
St Helens
Avg Margin
7.6
Leeds Rhinos
18.2
St Helens
Run Metres
1322
Leeds Rhinos
1091
St Helens
Clean Breaks
5.8
Leeds Rhinos
6.2
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
66%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 2 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: -1.7