Hull
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Hull
45%
Wakefield Trinity
55%
AI Match Overview
Wakefield Trinity hold the advantage at 55% win probability, though Hull are far from out of this at 45%. The model sees Wakefield Trinity ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wakefield Trinity carry a 152-point ELO rating advantage (1562 vs 1410).
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wakefield Trinity to Win @2.50
Lost ✗
Edge
+14.7%
Line / Spread
Hull +0.1 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R13W R14L R15W R16L R17L older → newer | 20.4 |
Wakefield Trinity | R13L R14L R15W R16L R17W | 21.6 |
Avg Conceded
13.0
Hull
19.2
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
7.4
Hull
2.4
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1019
Hull
1090
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
4.6
Hull
3.4
Wakefield Trinity
ELO–Market Disagreement
Wakefield Trinity hold the ELO advantage (1562 vs 1410), but the market favours Hull (@1.67).
The model sides with ELO, Wakefield Trinity predicted to win despite longer odds.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
55%
Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 0 points
Predicted total: 39 · Line: +0.1