Catalans Dragons
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
41%
Warrington Wolves
59%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves hold the advantage at 59% win probability, though Catalans Dragons are far from out of this at 41%. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Warrington Wolves carry a 116-point ELO rating advantage (1477 vs 1362). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Catalans Dragons.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.55
Winner ✓
Edge
-5.6%
Line / Spread
Catalans Dragons +0.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Catalans Dragons Draw @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R13L R14L R15L R16W R17L older → newer | 11.2 |
Warrington Wolves | R13W R14L R15L R16W R17W | 22.0 |
Avg Conceded
34.4
Catalans Dragons
21.2
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
-23.2
Catalans Dragons
0.8
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
692
Catalans Dragons
920
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
1.0
Catalans Dragons
3.6
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
59%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 1 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +0.5